Capital fabrics continue to pick up the market liquidity expectations optimistic

Capital fabrics continue to pick up the market liquidity expectations optimistic

Along with the effect of the central bank's continued large-scale reverse repurchase and the improvement of market sentiment, the interbank market funds on Thursday were still relatively loose in the case of reverse repurchase. Analysts pointed out that the trend of capital recovery will continue.


Capital recovery


On Thursday, the central bank launched a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 80 billion yuan, and the winning bid rate was flat at 2.25%.


However, the main period of capital prices continued to fall on Thursday, and the overall face of funds is returning to a moderately loose pattern. On Thursday, the weighted average interest rates (deposit institutions) of pledged repo at banks' nights, 7 days, 14 days and 1 month were reported at 1.99%, 2.36%, 2.71% and 2.70%, respectively, compared to the previous day. Down 2, 4, 6 and 2 base points respectively.


Traders said that with the continuous net release of the central bank's open market, the level of large-scale capital finance returned to normal, and the pressure on supply and demand in the money market was significantly eased. The news from the DM financial peer quotation platform further shows that as of 16:00 on Thursday, the DM platform offline interbank deposits and deposits only recorded around 1.29, hitting a new low in the past two months. July 1 is more relaxed. In addition, there has been an oversupply of funds in the 7-day and 14-day periods, which is rare in the past.


Market liquidity is expected to be optimistic


Analysts said that the policy tone of the central bank's continued escort for moderate liquidity in the market is still continuing, and this will further consolidate the expectations of all parties in the market for moderately loose funding.


Relevant statistics show that since the company paid taxes in mid-July, the funds have been tightened. From July 18, the central bank has approved a total net investment of 480 billion yuan through reverse repurchase operations. If the MLF, central bank and treasury cash are set Taking into account the operations, the total net amount of funds reached 565.3 billion yuan. DM financial peers platform analysts pointed out that from the operation of the central bank's open market this month, due to the tightness of funds, the point is in the middle of the month, and the reverse repurchase in the month is basically the hedging mode of the upper and lower half. This mode of operation effectively alleviates the excess liquidity after the season, the tightness of the monthly tax payment, and the regularized end of the month. On the whole, this "symmetric hedging" approach also confirms the stability of the central bank's previously maintained monetary policy and the continued "fine easing" of the "precise drip irrigation".


As for the impact of the new regulations on commercial banking wealth management business, the market generally believes that the impact of the new financial management regulations on the bond market and the capital side is relatively favorable. Northeast Securities (000686, shares it), Shen Wan Hongyuan (000166, shares it) and other institutions pointed out that the new regulations strengthen the supervision of the investment of wealth management funds, will force some of the wealth management funds from non-standard and equity assets to the bond market, making all types The increase in the proportion of commercial banks investing in bonds and cash assets is expected to have a long-term positive impact on the interbank market funds.

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