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From Shengze index 2010 textile raw materials soaring
In 2010, the textile domestic demand market continued to be hot and the export market was gradually warming up. Shengze Textile Industry also stepped out of the shadow of the previous two years and started to develop steadily. However, the good news is that the demand for textile raw materials Increase in cotton prices, chemical fiber filament prices soaring, reaching a record high in November, at the same time, coupled with the impact of the renminbi appreciation, leaving the whole industry is facing unprecedented Shengze textile cost pressures, which is unexpected . The continuous rise of cotton, cotton yarn and chemical fiber has become a worry for the textile industry to pick up. Figure 1: The average size of the purchase of raw materials, textile enterprises figure Figure 2: Small medium and large sized textile enterprises purchase cost trend Below, we start with Shengze index average purchase price of raw materials for analysis. As can be seen from the trend of the curve, in January 2010, the average purchase amount of raw materials by Shengze textile enterprises continued to grow by 13.34% on the basis of the end of 2009, mainly due to the raw material reserves of enterprises and the annual production and sales after the guarantee In February, due to the impact of the Spring Festival holiday, business startup rate is generally not high, the average amount of raw materials purchased a substantial downward trend, a decline of 12.35%; from March onwards, Shengze textile sales quickly into the state averaged The purchase amount of raw materials increased by 7.7% compared with the same period of last year. In April, due to the continuous rise of raw material prices, the average amount of raw materials purchased by the enterprises also increased, up 48.87% from March; in May, the average of the enterprises The purchase amount of raw materials changed greatly in March and April, and the trend was down by 13.87% from the same period of last year. This was a rare occurrence in the 10-year textile raw material market. The purchase amount of raw materials rose 2.25% again in May, up 8.2% over the same period of last year. In July, the average purchase amount of raw materials of Shengze Enterprise continued to increase in June from the same period of last year 5.87% up, but down 1.96% over the same period last year; August, Shengze average purchase of raw materials companies have decreased, down 12.81%, mainly due to the market in August continued to rise in raw material prices, corporate purchasing strategy Cautious, and more in accordance with the needs of textile orders to purchase; to September, Shengze average purchase of raw materials companies rebounded in August than the ring in August, up 16.34% in October rose 9. 94%, in November, raw material prices up to The highest point, an increase of 49.4%, raw materials after a year of crazy rise, the downstream fabric enterprises, terminal garment processing enterprises finally could not stand the unreasonable cost of raw materials, weaving factories, terminal processing plants have stopped fabric transactions, At this point, it was announced that the end of 2010 soaring raw materials, to December, textile raw materials prices have finally dropped sharply, the basic return to normal price range. Let us analyze the reasons for the 2010 textile raw materials rose: First, the upstream chemical fiber raw material prices. In 2010, the price of chemical fiber raw materials such as PTA and MEG rose following the rise of international crude oil prices, and the cost of chemical fiber filament production increased, which caused a price surge. Second, cotton supply and demand imbalances lead to price increases. On the other hand, the major cotton producing areas in China, such as Xinjiang, have suffered from the impact of the climatic disasters, causing the cotton production to drop. In the international market, the major exporters of cotton in India have stopped using foreign cotton Export, a series of factors that led to an imbalance between supply and demand in the cotton market led to skyrocketing cotton prices. Third, the surge in demand for textiles led to rising raw material prices. In 2010, there was a serious shortage of fabrics in Shengze market. Especially in the first half of the year, according to the sales habits in previous years, in the first half of the year, there should be a lot of foreign trade orders. Domestic orders should be concentrated in the second half of the year. However, in the first half of this year, due to the continuous news of RMB appreciation, there are many merchants in order to avoid losses caused by the appreciation, therefore, there has been an upsurge of grabbing goods. The supply of fabrics produced by weaving factories is in short supply, and the price of raw materials keeps up with the trend. Fourth, the social hot money speculation is the culprit. In 2010, China's stock market is not bullish, ups and downs, so that these hot money feel that the risk increases, while at the same time, with the soaring property prices around the country, the New Deal continue to introduce the real estate, once more than once harsh, desperation, These hot money withdrawal from the stock market, the property market, switch to speculation in the textile raw materials market, resulting in soaring textile raw materials prices. In summary, every change in the textile raw materials affects the nerves of the entire textile industry chain. As the serious consequence of soaring raw materials such as 10 years is the massive loss of orders from downstream weaving enterprises, the forced shutdown of weaving factories and the loss of workers; The cost per garment produced by a processing enterprise has increased by at least 10 yuan. Since November, the wholesale price of apparel has increased by 2 to 4 yuan per piece, which eventually leads to a decrease in the consumers' spending power, the slow sale of garments, which in turn affects the upstream industry The chain of follow-up production and marketing, therefore, all aspects of the textile industry chain to maintain a virtuous production and management activities, in order to ensure the healthy development of the textile industry. (Silk Network Huang Xiangning) (E04)